Predicting Real Estate Fluctuations

Real estate follows a pattern and key factors willeye on natural resources can be one indicator of
affect the rise and fall of the market. The resultprojected growth in the property market. When
of this pattern is that some areas are still hotlarge numbers of new employees move into one
property markets and others are not. Can youarea, all at the same time, the demand for
use this information to your advantage to buy orhousing often exceeds the supply therefore
sell a house for yourself? If you are consideringhouses are scarce and it is a sellers market.
buying or selling, then understanding some of theJob growth has long been an indicator for serious
facets of the real estate market will help you torealty investors. If you are wondering about the
evaluate your own unique situation.property market in your part of the country,
Real estate is not only linked to economic growth,then the local newspaper is a good place to start.
there are also other influences and some of theseIf it forecasts that many companies, or even one
are regional factors such as population growth,large company, is moving out of town, it would
job growth and rising incomes. This means thatbe wise to keep an eye on the other businesses.
some areas are still red hot markets and that theOne tell tale sign is an excess of rental signs in
increase in others may be dwindling. For instance,property windows and more 'For Sale' signs
the nationally posted figures for increases in realaround than usual. If you are in an area where the
estate this year are 3.2% (that is up to Junemarket is stagnant and you can ride it out,then
2007).this is advisable as the market trend is usually
But some areas are reporting much larger jumpsalways up. Sometimes the perceived 'drop' in
than that. For instance, Wenatchee, Washingtonprices is really just a drop in the profit margin that
reports a 24% increase and the Pacificwas on paper.
Northwest, Colorado and Utah are showingAlternatively, if there are reports that new
upwards of 10% appreciation.companies are moving into the area, it may mean
In Grand Junction, Colorado, the city's work forcethat back up businesses will follow. Also check for
has expanded by over 25% since 2002 andreports that one of the established businesses in
property has increased by 65% in the last fiveyour town is planning an expansion, either way,
years. The area houses a large gas field and thethese changes will bode well for the housing
related industries have all expanded. Keeping anmarket.